Library

 

The China Collection

Printer-friendly versionPrinter-friendly version

This collection of over seventy National Intelligence Estimates on China is the most extensive single selection of intelligence analyses the United States Government ever has released. This recently declassified collection represents the most authoritative intelligence assessments of the United States Government and thus constitutes a unique historical record of a momentous era in China's modern history.

The collection spans the pivotal period from the Chinese civil war and the consolidation of the Communist regime through the upheavals of the Great Leap Forward and Cultural Revolution. It chronicles the struggles within the top leadership, the buildup of the Chinese military, and the evolution of the Sino-Soviet split. With the benefit of hindsight, we now can study the assessments of these developments with a degree of historical perspective, while still feeling the excitement of reading "history as it happens."

In addition to their historical significance, these documents are important for today's world as well, as Robert Suettinger, a former National Intelligence Officer for East Asia and author of a noted history of US-China relations, points out in his introduction to the collection. The declassified Estimates are foundation stones for our ongoing efforts to understand the evolution of the People's Republic of China and its politics, economics, and foreign policy.

The book was produced and published by the National Intelligence Council (NIC). The National Intelligence Council is a center of strategic thinking within the United States Government, reporting to the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) and providing coordinated analyses of foreign policy issues for the President and senior policymakers. Its work ranges from brief analyses of current issues to "over the horizon" Estimates of broader trends at work in the world. Although most of its work is for internal government use, the NIC also produces unclassified reports and collaborates with a wide range of independent scholars, experts, and organizations around the world.

 

Documents in this Collection

Documents in PDF format require the Adobe Acrobat Reader®

FOIA

ORE 45-49/PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN CHINA

Document Number: 0001086039
Pages:
23
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001086039.pdf1.73 MB

FOIA

ORE 76-49 - SURVIVAL POTENTIAL OF RESIDUAL NON-COMMUNIST REGIMES IN CHINA

Document Number: 0001098226
Pages:
11
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001098226.pdf740.58 KB

FOIA

ORE 77-48-CHINESE COMMUNIST CAPABILITIES FOR CONTROL OF ALL CHINA

Document Number: 0001086035
Pages:
12
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001086035.pdf615.92 KB

FOIA

ORE 89-49-THE FOOD OUTLOOK FOR COMMUNIST CHINA

Document Number: 0001086041
Pages:
12
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001086041.pdf569.35 KB

FOIA

SNIE 10-3-61-PROBABLE COMMUNIST REACTIONS TO CERTAIN SEATO UNDERTAKINGS IN SOUT

Document Number: 0001098214
Pages:
10
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001098214.pdf277.77 KB

FOIA

SNIE 100-11-58 - PROBABLE CHINESE COMMUNIST AND SOVIET INTENTIONS IN THE TAIWAN

Document Number: 0001098213
Pages:
5
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001098213.pdf277.47 KB

FOIA

SNIE 100-12-58 - PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT CRISIS

Document Number: 0001098215
Pages:
10
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001098215.pdf327.98 KB

FOIA

SNIE 100-4-59 - CHINESE COMMUNIST INTENTIONS AND PROBABLE COURSES OF ACTION IN

Document Number: 0001098217
Pages:
23
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001098217.pdf1.56 MB

FOIA

SNIE 100-9-58 - PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT AREA

Document Number: 0001084989
Pages:
16
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001084989.pdf1.07 MB

FOIA

SNIE 13-10-68 - COMMUNIST CHINA'S ICBM AND SUBMARINE-LAUNCHED BALLISTIC MISSILE

Document Number: 0001090206
Pages:
11
AttachmentSize
DOC_0001090206.pdf2.98 MB

Pages